Amherst 
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 93.5795
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
228 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 8, 93.3) 9- 5
307 A Tufts NESCAC (22- 1, 99.9) 8-15
311 H Babson NEWMAC (18- 3, 95.9) 11-15
314 H Bates NESCAC (12- 6, 95.0) 20- 8
318 N Swarthmore Centennial (11- 8, 91.4) 13-11
321 N Christopher Newport CLC (18- 4, 94.2) 9-12
328 A Bowdoin NESCAC (19- 2, 97.4) 9-12
401 A Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 5, 95.6) 4-16
404 H Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 90.4) 11-10
408 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.2) 11- 8
411 H Williams NESCAC ( 8-10, 93.4) 10- 9
415 H RPI Liberty Leagu ( 9- 8, 91.1) 21- 9
418 A Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 8, 94.7) 5-12
422 H Trinity NESCAC ( 6- 9, 92.3) 15- 7
425 H Bates NESCAC (12- 6, 95.0) 7-12
509 N Stevens MAC-Freedom (18- 3, 94.5) 13-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 H Hamilton 9- 5 4 1 + 3.29
307 A Tufts 8-15 -7 -7 0.00
311 H Babson 11-15 -4 -2 - -2.04
314 H Bates 20- 8 12 -1 ++ 5.99
318 N Swarthmore 13-11 2 2 -0.13
321 N Christopher Newport 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.40
328 A Bowdoin 9-12 -3 -4 1.22
401 A Wesleyan 4-16 -12 -2 - -2.60
404 H Colby 11-10 1 4 - -2.53
408 A Connecticut College 11- 8 3 2 1.03
411 H Williams 10- 9 1 1 0.40
415 H RPI 21- 9 12 3 + 2.10
418 A Middlebury 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.52
422 H Trinity 15- 7 8 2 + 3.30
425 H Bates 7-12 -5 -1 -- -4.01
509 N Stevens 13-14 -1 -1 -0.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
425 H Bates 7-12 -5 -1 -- -4.01
311 H Babson 11-15 -4 -2 - -2.04
321 N Christopher Newport 9-12 -3 -1 - -2.40
401 A Wesleyan 4-16 -12 -2 - -2.60
404 H Colby 11-10 1 4 - -2.53
418 A Middlebury 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.52
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 H Bates 20- 8 12 -1 ++ 5.99
228 H Hamilton 9- 5 4 1 + 3.29
415 H RPI 21- 9 12 3 + 2.10
422 H Trinity 15- 7 8 2 + 3.30
|
Amherst PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adrian |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Albertus Magnus |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Albion |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Albright |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Alfred |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Alfred State |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Allegheny |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Alma |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Alvernia |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Anderson (IN) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Anna Maria |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Arcadia |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Augustana |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Aurora |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Averett |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Babson |
Babson |
Babson |
 
| |
| Baldwin Wallace |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Bates |
Bates |
|
Bates   6- 3 vs 5- 4 |
|
| Beloit |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Benedictine (IL) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Berry |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Bethany |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
 
| |
| Brevard |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Bridgewater |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Brockport |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Bryn Athyn |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Cairn |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Calvin |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Canton |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Capital |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Carroll |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Carthage |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Castleton |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Catholic |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Centenary (LA) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Centenary (NJ) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Centre |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Chatham |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
 
| |
| Clark |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Clarkson |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Coast Guard |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Cobleskill |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Colby |
Amherst |
Amherst |
 
| |
| Colorado College |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Concordia-Wisconsin |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Connecticut College |
Amherst |
Amherst |
 
| |
| Cornell College |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Cortland |
Cortland |
|
Cortland   1- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Curry |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Dean College |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Delaware Valley |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Delhi |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Denison |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| DePauw |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| DeSales |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Dickinson |
Amherst |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Amherst |
| Drew |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Dubuque |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Earlham |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Eastern |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Eastern Connecticut |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Edgewood |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Elizabethtown |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Elmhurst |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Elmira |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Emerson |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 2 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Emmanuel (MA) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Endicott |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Farmingdale State |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| FDU-Florham |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Franciscan |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Franklin & Marshall |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Geneseo |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Gettysburg |
Amherst |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Amherst |
| Gordon |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Goucher |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Greensboro |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Grove City |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Guilford |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Gwynedd Mercy |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Hamilton |
Amherst |
Amherst |
 
|
| Hampden-Sydney |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Hanover |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Hartford |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Hartwick |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Haverford |
Amherst |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Amherst |
| Heidelberg |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Hendrix |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Hilbert |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Hiram |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Hood |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Hope |
Hope |
|
Hope   1- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Huntingdon |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Husson |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Illinois Tech |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Illinois Wesleyan |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Immaculata |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Ithaca |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| John Carroll |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Johnson & Wales |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Juniata |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Kalamazoo |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Kean |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Keene State |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Kenyon |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Keuka |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Kings |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| La Roche |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| LaGrange |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Lake Forest |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Lasell |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Lawrence |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Lebanon Valley |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Lycoming |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
|
Lynchburg   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Maine Maritime |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Manhattanville |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Marian (WI) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Marietta |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Maritime |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Mary Washington |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Marymount |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Marywood |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Massachusetts Maritime |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Massachusetts-Boston |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Amherst |
| McDaniel |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| MCLA |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Merchant Marine |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Messiah |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Methodist |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Middlebury |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
|
| Misericordia |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| MIT |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Mitchell |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Montclair State |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Moravian |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Morrisville |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Mount St Mary (NY) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Mount St Vincent |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Mount Union |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| MSOE |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Muhlenberg |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Muskingum |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Nazareth |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Neumann |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| New England College |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| New Paltz |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Nichols |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| North Central |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Northland |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Norwich |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Oberlin |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Oglethorpe |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Ohio Northern |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Amherst |
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Oneonta |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Oswego |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Otterbein |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Penn College |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Pfeiffer |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Piedmont |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Pitt-Bradford |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Plattsburgh |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Plymouth State |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Potsdam |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Purchase |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Randolph |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Randolph-Macon |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Regis (MA) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Rhodes |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| RIT |
RIT |
|
RIT   2- 3 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Rivier |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Roanoke |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Roger Williams |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Rosemont |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| RPI |
Amherst |
Amherst |
 
| |
| Sage |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Salem State |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Salisbury |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Salve Regina |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Scranton |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Amherst |
| Sewanee |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Shenandoah |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Skidmore |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Southern Maine |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Southern Virginia |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Southwestern |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Spalding |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Springfield |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| St John Fisher |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| St Joseph (CT) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| St Josephs (LI) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| St Josephs (ME) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| St Lawrence |
Amherst |
|
tied -  2- 2 |
Amherst |
| St Marys (MD) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| St Vincent |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Stevens |
Stevens |
Stevens |
 
| |
| Stevenson |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Stockton |
Amherst |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Amherst |
| SUNY Poly |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Susquehanna |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Swarthmore |
Amherst |
Amherst |
 
| |
| Thiel |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Thomas |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Transylvania |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Trine |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Trinity |
Amherst |
Amherst |
 
| |
| Tufts |
Tufts |
Tufts |
 
| |
| U of New England |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Union |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   4- 5 vs 1- 7 |
|
| Ursinus |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Utica |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Vassar |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Virginia Wesleyan |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Wabash |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Warren Wilson |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Washington & Jefferson |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Washington & Lee |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Washington College |
Amherst |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Amherst |
| Wentworth |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
 
| |
| Western Connecticut |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Western New England |
Amherst |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Amherst |
| Westminster (PA) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Wheaton |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 2 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Widener |
Amherst |
|
Amherst   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Wilkes |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| William Peace |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Williams |
Amherst |
Amherst |
 
| |
| Wilmington (OH) |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Wittenberg |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| Wooster |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
| York |
York |
|
York   1- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
PairWisePlus = 222

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Hamilton ( 9- 8, 93.3) 9- 5 -6.63 33.24 -0.40 1.00 32.86
0 A Tufts (22- 1, 99.9) 8-15 -0.00 39.87 0.40 1.00 -0.40
0 H Babson (18- 3, 95.9) 11-15 -3.96 35.91 -0.40 1.00 -4.37
0 H Bates (12- 6, 95.0) 20- 8 -4.92 34.95 -0.40 1.00 34.56
0 N Swarthmore (11- 8, 91.4) 13-11 -8.45 31.42 -0.00 1.00 31.44
0 N Christopher Ne (18- 4, 94.2) 9-12 -5.72 34.16 -0.00 1.00 -5.72
0 A Bowdoin (19- 2, 97.4) 9-12 -2.51 37.36 0.40 1.00 -2.10
0 A Wesleyan (14- 5, 95.6) 4-16 -4.33 35.55 0.40 1.00 -3.92
0 H Colby ( 3-10, 90.4) 11-10 -9.45 30.42 -0.40 1.00 30.03
0 A Connecticut Co ( 5- 9, 91.2) 11- 8 -8.69 31.18 0.40 1.00 31.60
0 H Williams ( 8-10, 93.4) 10- 9 -6.52 33.35 -0.40 1.00 32.97
0 H RPI ( 9- 8, 91.1) 21- 9 -8.81 31.06 -0.40 1.00 30.67
0 A Middlebury ( 9- 8, 94.7) 5-12 -5.24 34.63 0.40 1.00 -4.84
0 H Trinity ( 6- 9, 92.3) 15- 7 -7.62 32.25 -0.40 1.00 31.87
0 H Bates (12- 6, 95.0) 7-12 -4.92 34.95 -0.40 1.00 -5.33
0 N Stevens (18- 3, 94.5) 13-14 -5.36 34.51 -0.00 1.00 -5.37
------
223.94
|
winning pts = 255.9937 losing points = -32.0565
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------